Data and Divergence
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Trump’s Crackdown Sends Migration Plunging
My estimates point to a recent substantial and widespread decline in net international migration, and it may be just getting started
21 hrs ago
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Zachary Donnini
7
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It’s Not Just the Weather: People Are Moving to Red States
A county-level model shows that differences in climate and general development patterns do not fully explain the migration advantage seen in red states.
Apr 3
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Zachary Donnini
14
3
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How To Win Your March Madness Bracket Pool in 2026
How to win your March Madness bracket pool with sharp strategy, smart risk, and analytics-driven picks to outplay your competition in 2026
Mar 18
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Zachary Donnini
4
2
Democrats Have a Baby Problem
Republicans are having more children than Democrats, and the gap is widening with real electoral consequences.
Jan 30
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Zachary Donnini
7
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How My Demographic Estimates Became Central to the NY-11 Redistricting Case
A breakdown of the core empirical dispute, why traditional ecological inference breaks down here, and what the data actually show.
Jan 26
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Zachary Donnini
9
2
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2025 Data and Divergence Year in Review
As I wrap up my final Data and Divergence of 2025, I want to start with a thank you to readers.
Dec 31, 2025
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Zachary Donnini
2
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2026 Redistricting: A Messy, High-Stakes, State-by-State Scramble
Court fights, ballot measures, and dueling gerrymanders are reshaping the map
Nov 19, 2025
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Zachary Donnini
2
NYC Mayor Preview
The sequel is here
Oct 30, 2025
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Zachary Donnini
13
2
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Data and Divergence
Political data analysis, demographics, and US elections.
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