Archive - Data and Divergence

How Zohran Mamdani Could Deliver the Left's Most Important Win in Years

Looking back to the primary and ahead to the general election

Jun 27 •

Zachary Donnini

May 2025

Democrats can’t depend on young voters anymore

Our precinct-level analysis broadly aligns with David Shor’s numbers on Gen Z

Published on Yale Youth Poll • May 1

March 2025

February 2025

2024 Election Updated Post-Mortem

How Trump Won: Shifting Coalitions, Regional Estimates, and What Comes Next

Feb 16 •

Zachary Donnini

January 2025

Voters of Color Helped Turn Northern Virginia Blue. Now, They’re Starting to Turn it Back Red

Donald Trump’s second inauguration marks a historic moment, capping off a wild and unpredictable 2024 campaign.

Jan 20 •

Zachary Donnini

December 2024

Here's Why Republicans Lost Their Advantage in the Electoral College

Is This the End of the GOP’s Electoral College Dominance?

Dec 29, 2024 •

Zachary Donnini

2024 D&D Forecast Review

How We Accurately Predicted Every State in the 2024 Presidential Race and 98% of Congressional Contests

Dec 2, 2024 •

Zachary Donnini

November 2024

2024 Election Post-Mortem

My thoughts on GOP gains, ticket splitting, Florida amendments failing, and more...

Nov 8, 2024 •

Zachary Donnini

5-Minute Election Day Guide

Everything you need to know for tonight

Nov 5, 2024 •

Zachary Donnini

October 2024

D&D 2024 Final Predictions

D&D 2024 Election Night Final Predictions

Oct 23, 2024 •

Zachary Donnini

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