Data and Divergence

The Great American Political Realignment: Westerville and West Covina

What can we learn from my national presidential election group estimates by precinct?

Sep 16 • 

Zachary Donnini

2

1

June 2025

How Zohran Mamdani Could Deliver the Left's Most Important Win in Years

Looking back to the primary and ahead to the general election

Jun 27 • 

Zachary Donnini

3

May 2025

Democrats can’t depend on young voters anymore

Our precinct-level analysis broadly aligns with David Shor’s numbers on Gen Z

Published on Yale Youth Poll • May 1

March 2025

Low Turnout, High Stakes

Democrats keep winning low-turnout specials like next Tuesday’s in Florida and Wisconsin — a pattern that’s intensified since Trump returned to power

Mar 28 • 

Zachary Donnini

How To Win Your March Madness Bracket Pool in 2025

And a Yale/Texas A&M First Round Matchup Breakdown

Mar 18 • 

Zachary Donnini

1

1

Trump’s First 50 Days

How His Policies Are Shaping America—and How the Country Is Responding

Mar 12 • 

Zachary Donnini

1

1

February 2025

2024 Election Updated Post-Mortem

How Trump Won: Shifting Coalitions, Regional Estimates, and What Comes Next

Feb 16 • 

Zachary Donnini

1

January 2025

Voters of Color Helped Turn Northern Virginia Blue. Now, They’re Starting to Turn it Back Red

Donald Trump’s second inauguration marks a historic moment, capping off a wild and unpredictable 2024 campaign.

Jan 20 • 

Zachary Donnini

December 2024

Here's Why Republicans Lost Their Advantage in the Electoral College

Is This the End of the GOP’s Electoral College Dominance?

Dec 29, 2024 • 

Zachary Donnini

2

2024 D&D Forecast Review

How We Accurately Predicted Every State in the 2024 Presidential Race and 98% of Congressional Contests

Dec 2, 2024 • 

Zachary Donnini

1

November 2024

2024 Election Post-Mortem

My thoughts on GOP gains, ticket splitting, Florida amendments failing, and more...

Nov 8, 2024 • 

Zachary Donnini

1

5-Minute Election Day Guide

Everything you need to know for tonight

Nov 5, 2024 • 

Zachary Donnini

2